{
  "title": "נוער בסיכון בישראל תחת שמונה־עשרה שנות הנהגה: מדיניות, תקציב, קשב ציבורי ותוכנית פעולה ל־2026 ואילך",
  "date": "2026-09-04",
  "period": "2008-2026",
  "status": "research synthesis and policy proposal",
  "core_thesis": "Israel improved the architecture for identifying, planning and coordinating services for children and youth at risk, but improved frontline continuity and equal execution less consistently.",
  "verified_anchors": [
    {
      "metric": "360 budget anchor",
      "from": 155,
      "to": 250,
      "unit": "NIS millions/year",
      "note": "nominal endpoints, not a continuous inflation-adjusted series"
    },
    {
      "metric": "intensive youth response budget",
      "from": 25.955,
      "to": 30.368,
      "years": "2021-2024",
      "unit": "NIS millions"
    },
    {
      "metric": "youth social-worker staffing rate",
      "from": 85.41,
      "to": 69.5,
      "years": "2021 to 2023-2024",
      "unit": "percent of positions filled"
    },
    {
      "metric": "Miftanim participants",
      "from": 1022,
      "to": 491,
      "years": "2016-2023",
      "unit": "youth"
    }
  ],
  "policy_proposal": {
    "name": "Anchor 360+ / StartOn 360+",
    "principle": "No identified youth remains without a consistent adult, physical address and active digital contact channel.",
    "pilot": {
      "municipalities": 10,
      "duration_months": 18,
      "planning_estimate_nis_millions_per_year": 30,
      "estimate_status": "report planning estimate, not a government commitment",
      "evaluation_design": "stepped-wedge cluster design"
    },
    "core_kpis": [
      "active contact at 90 and 180 days",
      "attendance and education/training continuity",
      "wellbeing and repeat crisis events",
      "NEET and education/employment persistence after age 18"
    ]
  },
  "methodological_limits": [
    "No single complete public annual series for all youth-at-risk expenditure from 2008 through 2026 was identified.",
    "Definitions and coverage differ across agencies and years.",
    "An increase in identified youth can reflect improved detection and geographic expansion.",
    "Vepretski conceptual manuscripts referenced by the report are independent works and are not presented as peer-reviewed consensus."
  ],
  "primary_sources": [
    "https://library.mevaker.gov.il/sites/DigitalLibrary/Pages/Reports/8792-6.aspx",
    "https://www.gov.il/he/departments/topics/molsa-360/govil-landing-page",
    "https://brookdale.jdc.org.il/publication/children-youth-risk-israel/",
    "https://www.gov.il/he/pages/2016_dec2014",
    "https://www.idi.org.il/media/26719/israeli-democracy-index-2024-hebrew.pdf",
    "https://library.mevaker.gov.il/sites/DigitalLibrary/Documents/2026/Evacuation/2026-Evacuation-209.pdf"
  ]
}